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HN분석2026. 04. 25. 21:31

Claude Code 드리프트 감지: CC-Canary 소개

요약

Claude Code 사용 시 모델 성능 저하나 행동 변화 (드리프트) 를 조기에 발견할 수 있는 오픈소스 도구 'CC-Canary'가 출시되었습니다. 네트워크 연결 없이 로컬 JSONL 로그만 분석하여 비용, 토큰 사용량, 사고율 등 핵심 지표를 시각화하고 GitHub 이슈용 포렌식 리포트를 생성합니다.

핵심 포인트

  • Claude Code의 `~/.claude/projects/` 디렉토리 내 JSONL 로그를 스캔해 모델 드리프트를 감지합니다.
  • 비용 (USD), 토큰, 사고율 등 핵심 지표를 🟢🟡🔴 색상으로 표시한 포렌식 리포트를 생성합니다.
  • 네트워크/계정 없이 로컬에서 실행되며, Claude 가 자체적으로 리포트 서론을 작성하는 하이브리드 방식입니다.
  • 0.x 프리알파 버전으로 출력 형식이 변경될 수 있으나 즉시 설치 및 테스트가 가능합니다.

Drift detection for Claude Code, packaged as two installable Agent Skills

Reads the JSONL session logs Claude Code already writes to ~/.claude/projects/, detects whether the model has been drifting on your own work, and produces a shareable forensic report.

No network, no account, no telemetry, no background daemon. Runs on the data already on your disk.

Status: 0.x / pre-alpha — output format and metric set may change.

SkillInvocationOutput
cc-canary/cc-canary [window]forensic markdown writeup (./cc-canary-<date>.md) — paste-ready for GitHub issues or gists
cc-canary-html/cc-canary-html [window]same report as a dark-theme HTML dashboard (./cc-canary-<date>.html), auto-opens in your browser

Window defaults to 60d. Accepts 7d / 14d / 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d.

Each report includes:

  • Verdict — HOLDING / SUSPECTED REGRESSION / CONFIRMED REGRESSION / INCONCLUSIVE
  • Headline metrics table (pre vs post, with 🟢/🟡/🔴 band verdicts)
  • Weekly trend bars — cost (USD, verified against ccusage to the cent), read:edit ratio, reasoning loops, tokens/turn
  • Cross-version comparison — same user, different model versions, controlling for task mix
  • Auto-detected inflection date — composite health-score break
  • Findings with model-side / user-side / ambiguous classification
  • Appendices — hour-of-day thinking depth, word-frequency shift, three-period thinking-visibility transition, per-turn behavior rates, and more
npx skills add delta-hq/cc-canary

Install just one:

npx skills add delta-hq/cc-canary --skill cc-canary
npx skills add delta-hq/cc-canary --skill cc-canary-html

Then from any Claude Code session:

/cc-canary 60d
/cc-canary-html 30d

Requirements

  • python3 ≥ 3.8 on your PATH.
  • macOS / Linux / WSL for the cc-canary-html auto-open step (it falls back to printing the path if open / xdg-open / start fails).

How it works

  1. Scan. A bundled Python script (stdlib only — no pip, no Node) walks ~/.claude/projects/**/*.jsonl, filters by window and excludes subagent sessions by default.
  2. Dedupe. Assistant messages are deduped on (message.id, requestId) — same scheme ccusage uses, because Claude Code writes the same message into multiple JSONLs when sessions are resumed or branched.
  3. Aggregate. Per-session metrics: tool-mix, read:edit ratio, reasoning-loop phrases, self-admitted errors, premature stops, interrupts, token usage, cost (current Claude 4.x rates), hour-of-day thinking depth.
  4. Detect inflection. Composite health score per day; argmax of |before − after| over candidate dates with a 0.75σ floor. Falls back to median-timestamp split if no break clears.
  5. Pre-render the report. Script writes a markdown / HTML skeleton with every table and bar chart filled in. Only ~20 short narrative slots (marked <!-- C: ... -->) are left for Claude to fill — verdict line, summary, per-finding reasoning, root-cause, appendix paragraphs.
  6. Fill & save. Claude reads the skeleton, writes the narrative, saves the final file.

Total runtime: ~2.5s for the script + 10–20s for Claude to fill narrative.

Metrics in the headline table

(with published healthy/transition/concerning bands where applicable):

  • Read:Edit ratio — file reads per edit. Proxy for how thoroughly the model investigates before mutating.
  • Write share of mutationsWrite / (Edit + Write). High share = model rewriting files instead of surgical edits.
  • Reasoning loops / 1K tool calls — phrases like "let me try again", "oh wait", "actually,".
  • Frustration rate — rate of frustration words in your prompts.
  • Thinking redaction rate — fraction of thinking blocks that are redacted vs visible.
  • Mean thinking length — reasoning-depth proxy (via cryptographic signature length, r=0.97 with content length when visible).
  • API turns per user turn — how many API calls the model makes per user message.
  • Tokens per user turn — total token volume (input + output + cache) per user message.

Plus appendices with additional signals: premature stopping, self-admitted errors, shortcut vocabulary, user interrupts, hour-of-day thinking depth, per-word frequency shift, three-period thinking-visibility transition, per-turn behavior rates.

Custom runs via Bash flags

The script accepts flags you can pass via Bash (python3 scripts/compute_stats.py …) for custom runs:

FlagDefaultPurpose
--window {Nd}60dWindow size (7d / 14d / 30d / 60d / 90d / 180d)
--include-agentsoffInclude subagent sessions (default: excluded — they have no natural user prompts)
--min-user-words N10Drop sessions with fewer user-prompt words than this (filters trivial sessions)
--render-md PATHWrite the markdown skeleton to PATH
--render-html PATHWrite the HTML dashboard to PATH

Privacy & Security

  • Fully local. Zero network calls.
  • The script reads ~/.claude/projects/*.jsonl only. Nothing else.
  • Narrative prose is written by Claude during the skill invocation (inside your Claude Code session); it has access only to the on-disk files you explicitly point it at.
  • User-prompt content is truncated to ≤180 chars before being included in the skeleton, and redacted for /Users/… paths, emails, hex-like tokens.
  • Output files (./cc-canary-<date>.{md,html}) live in the directory where you invoked the skill. Nothing is uploaded anywhere.

Contributing

Issues, metric suggestions, and PRs welcome: github.com/delta-hq/cc-canary/issues.

Output format and metric set may change during 0.x.

Canaries were used in coal mines to detect early signs of danger. cc-canary does the same for drift in your Claude Code sessions.

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